R&R in AJPS

I am excited that the editor of the American Journal of Political Science invited me and my co-authors Saurabh Pant and Beza Tesfaye to revise and resubmit our paper titled “Winning Hearts and Minds in Civil Wars: Governance, Leadership Change, and Support for Violence in Iraq“. This paper leverages original data from a national survey in Iraq and an unforeseen leadership transition while the survey was in the field to test the hearts-and-minds model of counterinsurgency. Specifically, the paper shows that the leadership transition led Iraq’s displeased minorities to shift support away from the insurgency to the government. This realignment was due to rising optimism among minorities that the new government would provide basic services and public goods – specifically security, electricity, and jobs.

Two research grants to conduct nationally representative survey

I am grateful for two research grants to fund research on the signaling effect of international organizations on U.S. public attitudes. The first grant was provided by Princeton Research in Experimental Social Science, and the second grant was jointly awarded by Princeton’s Mamdouha S. Bobst Center for Peace and Justice and the Niehaus Center for Globalization and Governance.

Paper presentation at International Law and International Relations Conference at the University of Pennsylvania

I look forward to attending the first Graduate Student Conference on International Law and International Relations, hosted by the the Perry World House at the University of Pennsylvania on 20 March, 2017. I will present my paper titled “The Power of the Weak: How Informal Power-Sharing Shapes the World of the UN Security Council”.

Paper at ISA

Saurabh Pant will present our paper (co-authored with Beza Tesfaye) on Winning Hearts and Minds in Civil Wars: Governance, Leadership Change, and Support for Violence in Iraq” at ISA’s Annual Convention in Baltimore. Our panel is titled “Rebuilding the State after Civil War” and will meet on Thursday, February 22, from 1:45  to 3:30 PM. The paper leverages original data from a national survey in Iraq and an unforeseen leadership transition while the survey was in the field to test the hearts-and-minds model of counterinsurgency. Specifically, the paper shows that the leadership transition led Iraq’s displeased minorities to shift support away from the insurgency to the government. This realignment was due to rising optimism among minorities that the new government would provide basic services and public goods – specifically security, electricity, and jobs.

R&R in Review of International Organizations

The editor of the Review of International Organizations invited me to resubmit a revised version of my paper on issue linkage across international organizations. This paper shows that states can leverage a temporary privileged position in one international organization (United Nations) to attain more beneficial bargaining outcomes in another international organization (European Union). I look forward to editing the paper in light of the the reviewers’ and editor’s very helpful comments. You can access the current version of the paper under the Research link on my website.

Paper presentation at ESOC Conference at USIP

My co-authors Saurabh Pant and Beza Tesfaye and I look forward to presenting our paper on counter-insurgency strategy in Iraq at the Annual Meeting of ESOC at the United States Institute of Peace in Washington, D.C. Building on the hearts-and-minds model of counterinsurgency, we argue that a major political event that raises popular expectations of future public service and security provision by the government will increase support for the government and decrease sympathy for the insurgency. To test this argument, we leverage a unique research design opportunity that stems from the unforeseen announcement of the resignation of Iraq’s divisive prime minister in August 2014 while an original survey was being administered across the country. We show that the leadership transition led Iraq’s displeased minorities to become more optimistic about future public service and security provision and to shift support away from the insurgency to the government. The paper is available under the Research link on my website.

Article forthcoming in Journal of Conflict Research

The editor of the Journal of Conflict Resolution has accepted my paper on “Lessons on political violence from America’s post-9/11 wars”. This paper is co-authored with Jacob Shapiro. It analyzes the bargaining failures that led to the onset of these two wars and investigates local-level temporal and spatial variation in the intensity of combat. The paper reviews a large literature in political science that studies these two wars, summarizes the uniquely rich data on both conflicts, and outlines potential avenues for future research. The paper is available under the Research link on my website.

 

2 papers at PEIO 2016

I look forward to presenting two papers at the annual conference on the Political Economy of International Organizations hosted by the University of Utah and Brigham Young University in Salt Lake City on January 7-9, 2016. The first paper (co-authored with Allison Carnegie) exploits a natural experiment in order to present the first cleanly identified estimate of the impact of UN blue helmets on civilian casualties in civil wars. The second paper investigates issue linkage across international organizations, which enables states to leverage a temporary privileged position in one international organization (United Nations) to attain more preferable bargaining outcomes in another international organization (European Union).

2 papers at ISA 2016

I will present my paper on the effect of UN peace operations on the plight of civilians in civil war (co-authored with Allison Carnegie) on the panel titled `Human rights and peace: Does keeping the peace help rights?’ on Saturday from 4:00 to 5:45 p.m. The paper exploits two sources of exogenous variation in the deployment of UN blue helmets to present the first cleanly identified estimate of the impact of UN peacekeepers on civilian protection. My paper on issue linkage across international organizations will be featured on the panel titled “Legalize This: International Organizations and the Law” on Thursday from 4:00 to 5:45 p.m. Investigating the effect of EU members’ temporary UN Security Council membership on the EU budget receipts of these states, the paper empirically shows that states can leverage a temporary privileged position in one international organization to increase their bargaining power in another international organization.

Competitive dissertation fellowship awarded

I am thrilled to announce that I won a competitive Fellowship of Woodrow Wilson Scholars for the next academic year. The generous award consists in USD 34,000 (stipend and research grant) in addition to full tuition. I am greatly looking forward to being part of this program, which is designed to stimulate interdisciplinary intellectual exchanges between graduate students and faculty across the social sciences and related fields (economics, political science, psychology, history, anthropology, and sociology). The fellowship is not related to Princeton’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs.

2 new papers at APSA 2015

At this year’s APSA I will present two new papers on the implications of informal governance in international organizations. The first paper (with Allison Carnegie) exploits two sources of exogenous variation in the deployment of UN peace operations to present the first cleanly identified estimate of the effect of UN peacekeeping on the plight of civilians in civil war. The second paper investigates issue linkage across international organizations. It shows that EU member states are more successful in bargaining over the EU budget while they hold a non-permanent seat on the UN Security Council, where they can promote security interests of other European countries; in turn, they can use their influence to secure economic side-payments in the form of larger receipts from the EU budget.

I will present the paper on the effect of UN peace operations on the panel on compliance in international politics at the Hilton Golden Gate 1 on Friday from 2:30 to 4:00 p.m. The paper on issue linkage across international organizations will be featured on the panel on delegation and cooperation in international organizations at the Hilton Union Square 13 on Thursday between 2:00 and 3:45 p.m.

Paper and poster at APSA 2014

APSA’s session on the United Nations will feature my paper on “Minor powers’ influence in international organizations: Empirical evidence exploiting the natural experiment of African representation on the UN Security Council”. Panel discussion 17-11 will take place on Thursday, 28 August 2014, from 8:00 to 9:45 a.m. at the Marriott Hotel’s Hoover suite. On Friday, 29 August, at 2:00 p.m. I will present my research project on compliance with United Nations Security Council resolutions at poster session 4 at the Marriott’s Exhibit Hall B North.

Paper presentation at EPSA 2014

I will present my paper titled “Minor powers’ influence in international organizations: Empirical evidence exploiting the natural experiment of African representation on the UN Security Council” at EPSA’s Annual Conference in Edinburgh. The panel on representative voting in international organizations, which features my paper, will meet at the Royal Society of Edinburgh’s Wellcome West suite on 20 June 2014 at 5 p.m.